I.Chemical Futures Market–Real-Time Snapshot (Morning Session, June29)
|
Product |
Opening |
High |
Low |
PreviousSettlement |
Trend |
|
Methanol (MA) |
2,418 |
2,467 |
2,410 |
2,438 |
Opened lower, weakened |
|
PTA |
5,426 |
5,538 |
5,422 |
5,512 |
Opened lower, weakened |
|
Polypropylene (PP) |
7,100 |
7,241 |
7,088 |
7,201 |
Opened lower, weakened |
Analysis: Methanol opened at RMB 2,418/t, approximately 0.8% below the previous settlement, with prices rallying then retreating during the session. The weakening methanol market helps reduce production costs for the methylamine series (monomethylamine / dimethylamine / trimethylamine) and MTBE. The overall chemical sector remains soft.
Ecological Environment Code – Only 47 Days Until Implementation (August 15)Provinces and municipalities are successively rolling out implementation细则 and enforcement plans. Small and mediumsized farms and feed mills are beginning to assess relocation or shutdown options.Impact on our company: Domestic demand for choline chloride and betaine from smaller customers may start contracting from August. The sales team is advised to proactively assess the impact on existing customers.
US FDA Dietary Supplement CGMP New Rule – Only 21 Days Left for Comments (July 20)If exporting foodgrade products (creatine, betaine, choline chloride) to the US, comments must be submitted by July 20. This is a critical window that will shape the US regulatory framework for years to come. EU Unified Maximum Permitted Levels (MPLs) for Vitamins & MineralsPublic consultation to begin in Q3 (July–September). Maximum limits for cholinebased and betainebased products exported to the EU may be affected.
|
Product |
Key Developments |
Outlook |
|
|
Betaine |
Methionine supply continues to tighten (NHU 5week shutdown + Evonik Singapore outage) → increased substitution demand for betaine as a methyl donor! Peak aquaculture season + abundant betaine raw materials → costpositive |
Firming |
|
|
Choline Chloride |
Supply/demand balanced; methanol weakness → lower EO/TMA cost pressure. August ecological code may affect smaller suppliers |
Stable |
|
|
LCarnitine |
Aquaculture peak season + pet food premiumisation + positive export outlook |
Firming |
|
|
Segment |
Status |
||
|
Pig farming |
Prices at 10year lows, persistently depressed |
||
|
Layer hens |
High egg prices, strong profitability |
||
|
Broilers |
Industry recovering |
||
|
Aquaculture |
Traditional peak season |
||
Creatine – New Zealand Recall Continues to Unfold (since June 26)NZ Muscle has been ordered to recall creatine products due to a food safety investigation, with full coverage by mainstream New Zealand media. The investigation is ongoing and may trigger a global quality review escalation.Market Growth
Global creatine market CAGR 8.1% ($479M → $946M by 2032)
Applications expanding from sports nutrition to brain health + healthy ageing
Global betaine market $4.58B → $5.83B (CAGR 6.2%)
US choline market up 24% in April; Balchem implements global price increases
|
Product |
Market Trends |
|
Cosmeticgrade Betaine |
CAGR 6.0%, reaching $920M by 2035; dualtrend driven by "clean beauty + natural hydration" |
|
Sodium Sarcosinate |
Amino acidbased facial cleanser market growing 1520% annually, benefiting from the "sulfatefree" trend |
Regulatory Updates
EU restrictions on 12 ingredients effective from April
US MoCRA enforcement continuing to strengthen
China fully implements complete safety assessment regime
Tighter regulations are eliminating noncompliant suppliers – benefiting compliant, wellestablished companies.
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Dates |
Event |
Location |
Sector |
||
|
July 13 |
Incosmetics Korea |
Seoul |
Cosmetic Ingredients |
||
|
July 810 |
CPHI South East Asia |
Bangkok |
Pharma/Chemical |
||
|
Upcoming Events Dates |
Event |
Location |
|||
|
September 1618 |
CPHI & PMEC Shenzhen |
Shenzhen |
|||
|
October 68 |
CPHI Milan |
Milan |
|||
|
October 2630 |
SupplySide West |
Las Vegas |
|||
|
November 1013 |
EuroTier 2026 |
Hannover |
|||
|
November 1719 |
Fi Europe |
Frankfurt |
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